Transposition-guided running key fragment scoring (28M Monte Carlo, 28 cores)
Transposition-guided running key fragment scoring — optimal assignment via Monte Carlo (28M samples, 28 cores)
In plain English: Transposition-guided running key fragment scoring — optimal assignment via Monte Carlo (28M samples, 28 cores) — using a combined approach: scramble the letter order AND replace each letter. 28.0 million key/parameter combinations were tested.
This approach is ruled out within the tested scope.
NOISE
Tier 3
How to read this record
- Verdict – NOISE (no better than random guessing), INTERESTING (slightly above random, almost certainly coincidence), SIGNAL (statistically unusual, warrants investigation), or FULL MATCH (all 24 known letters correct).
- Confidence Tier – Tier 1 = mathematical proof (permanent). Tier 2 = every possibility tested. Tier 3 = partially tested. Tier 4 = not yet tested.
- Configs Tested – How many different key/parameter combinations were tried.
- Best Score – How many of the 24 known plaintext letters the best attempt matched (out of 24).
- Keystream Consistency (Bean) – Whether the key values at different positions are mathematically consistent with each other.
- Scope Limitations – What this elimination does not rule out.
- Configs Tested
- 28,000,000
- Best Score
- 0 / 24 known letters matched · no better than random guessing (random guess would score: 0.0)
- Keystream Consistency (Bean)
-
FAIL
Checks whether the key values at different positions are mathematically consistent with each other. - Confidence
- Tier 3: Partial or statistical. May warrant re-testing under different assumptions.
- Truth Tag
[INTERNAL RESULT]- Date Tested
- 2026-02-27
- Script
scripts/cfm/e_cfm_08_trans_key_scoring.py
Scope Limitations
This elimination does not rule out:
- Proves underdetermination, optimal transposition produces English-like key fragments by coincidence from C(97,24)≈5e21 assignment freedom.
Assumptions
- Model A: CT = Trans(Vig(PT, K))
- Vigenere running key
- Quadgram scoring of 24-char key fragments
Related Research Questions
Reproduce
PYTHONPATH=src python3 -u scripts/cfm/e_cfm_08_trans_key_scoring.pyRequires the kryptos repo, Python 3.11+, PYTHONPATH=src.
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